Mike Loyko’s Final 2016 NFL Mock Draft

When does Jalen Ramsey come off the board?

When does Jalen Ramsey come off the board?

NEPD Editor: Mike Loyko

After an arduous four month process and countless hours of speculation the NFL Draft is finally upon us. Patriots fans have been a little distracted and dejected by the fact their first round pick has been stripped and they now must sit out the first night of the draft. Despite that there is plenty to be excited about with this draft class. It’s a deeper crop than the last few years and the defensive line class is absolutely loaded. A team like the Patriots that is stocked with 11 selections will find plenty of talent throughout rounds 2-7. Here’s how I project the first round to unfold on Thursday Night.

1. Los Angles Rams – Jared Goff, QB, California
2. Philadelphia Eagles – Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
3. San Diego Chargers – Deforest Buckner, DE, Oregon
4. Dallas Cowboys – Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
5. Jacksonville Jaguars – Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
6. Baltimore Ravens – Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
7. San Francisco 49ers – Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
8. Cleveland Browns – Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State (in a trade with Miami)
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Vernon Hargreaves, CB, Florida
10. New York Giants – Leonard Floyd, EDGE, Georgia
11. Chicago Bears – Shaq Lawson, EDGE, Clemson
12. New Orleans Saints – Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
13. Miami Dolphins – Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State (Trade up with CLE)
14. Oakland Raiders – Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
15. Tennessee Titans – Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
16. Detroit Lions – Ryan Kelly, OC, Alabama
17. Atlanta Falcons – Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
18. Indianapolis Colts – Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama
19. Buffalo Bills – Jarran Reed, DL, Alabama
20. New York Jets – Noah Spence, EDGE, Eastern Kentucky
21. Washington Redskins – A’Shawn Robinson, DT, Alabama
22. Houston Texans – Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
23. Minnesota Vikings – LaQuon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
24. Cincinnati Bengals – Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
25. Pittsburgh Steelers – Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
26. Seattle Seahawks (Trade Out) – Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis (Ends up with Cleveland)
27. Green Bay Packers – Vernon Butler, DL, LA Tech
28. Kansas City Chiefs – William Jackson III, CB, Houston
29. Arizona Cardinals – Jihad Ward, DL, Illinois
30. Carolina Panthers – Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
31. Denver Broncos – Robert Nkemdiche, DT, Ole Miss

19 Responses to “Mike Loyko’s Final 2016 NFL Mock Draft”

  1. Todti says:

    I agree in general with the mock draft, both in temrs of value and position. A couple of thoughts on some picks I don’t see:

    1) I had Bosa and Ramsey in this order until I read that not only Gregory but also Lawrence will be suspended. Even Rod Marinelli cannot create a pass rush out of thin air, which is why I think they would rather pick Bosa than Ramsey. Bosa is as NFL-ready as any DE/edge player in this draft and would also be advantegeous considering Romo’s shrinking SB window. What’s more, I think one of the second tier of CBs (Apple, Jackson, Mackensie) will be available at the start of the 2nd round.

    2) I assume Myles Jack slips in this mock draft because of injury concerns. I’m not exactly sure about the injuries but I think Jack or Hargeaves make more sense here. LT is surely a questionable position but they are on the hook for Monroe’s contract at least for the next 2 seasons and he’s a solid LT if healthy. Ricky Wagner is a FA after this season and I’m not sure whether the Ravens can afford him, but drafting a LT might be 1 or 2 years too early. I’d understand the logic behind the pick, though.

    3) I get the Coleman pick for the Texans because they could need someone to stretch the field for Osweiler and create space underneath for Hopkins. I just think Coleman is too limited. He’s fast but not quick, so he can only play vertically from the slot or outside. Moreover, he’s not a reliable catcher and he only ran a limited route tree. He’s basically a one-trick pony, although a good one on that. I just think you can get a player for that role later.
    However, I’d love to see the Vikings get Treadwell. Bridgewater’s range on the field is limited so a short-to-intermediate WR would be the best fit, and Treadwell with his big radius and reliable hands would be an ideal option for Bridgewater. The combination of him, Diggs, Rudolph, and a strong running game, plus the amazing defense would be really interesting.

    4) The Steelers are in a tough spot. They would probably run up to the podium if Jarran Reed’s still available, and I could see them draft Billings, but if not they probably draft a NT later due to the deep DT class. CB is their most obvious need, but CBs need a couple of years to develop in their sophisticated scheme (this holds for the Titans as well due to Dick LeBeau coaching their defense) which is why they usually draft them later. They probably have to draft the best player available for their scheme, and due to the deep defensive draft class I could see them invest in the OL.

    5) I think this year is too early for the Browns to draft a QB (at least high). Their roster is almost completely depleted of talent and the value of a rookie QB, if he actually succeeds, is the low salary compared to veterans (see Wilson, Kaepernick, Luck). The Browns, however, don’t have the quality to contend in the next couple of years, so Lynch (or any other QB) would be on his second contract when the Browns start to win again and thus negate any advantage from having a young franchise QB.
    Furthermore, considering the way the Browns aquired draft capital under the new front office the most logical strategy would be to invest your QB coaching into Griffin, because he basically needs to start at his fundamentals again, get a solid season out of him, and let him leave after the season for a decent compensation (he will make a maximum of $9.25m in 2017 which is below average should he be at least on a starter level). The Browns will have a top pick in 2017 and probably 2018 again, so they should pick a QB in these years and upgrade the roster on as many positions as possible until then.

    6) I think the Cardinals would go CB here if anyone of the second tier is available because Justin Bethel is their starting CB right now and that should not happen. I think any of Apple, Jackson, and Mackensie would fit their scheme. I understand the DL pick but I think they would rather draft developmental players there (considering the deep draft) and sign Freeney and another 3-4 DE veteran on short contracts.

    7) I’d be shocked if Dodd falls that deep. He arguably has the highest potential of this DE/edge player class and might already be a solid NFL DE or be there at the end of the year.

  2. Mike Gerken says:

    Nice work Mike!
    Because the Patriots first round pick was stolen, I decided not to do a 1st round mock this year, so I applaud your effort.
    Overall I think it looks like a very realistic draft with no glaring picks. I would love for Jihad Ward to go 1st round as it only means one more good player may fall to the Patriots.
    Glad to have you back on the site writing again.

  3. Russell says:

    I look for Taylor Decker and Cody Whitehair to fall into the 2nd round. Should BB trade-up to get one??

    • Todti says:

      I personally wouldn’t trade up for Decker, but if the Patriots do that I would certainly understand it. He should already be able to replace Cannon, and would probably succeed Vollmer and be an emergency LT by next year. I’d actually love to see that happen the more I think about it.

    • acm says:

      Depends how far they fall. I don’t think there is a player in that area of the draft worth trading up for by more than 15 or so spots. That is, do you think players like Decker, WHitehair, Spriggs, Bullard, Butler, C. Jones, Dodd etc would fall to middle of the 2nd round? Not impossible but not likely either, imo.

  4. Russell says:

    No-way Reggie Ragland does not go to N.Y.G., OC Ryan Kelly to Detroit? HIGHLY unlikely, DE Jihad Ward ? 3d round prospect at best, Denver to take QB Connor Cook.

  5. Yohy says:

    I will follow the draft online. There is no way I can stomach Roger all night. He is such a fraud, hugging all those kids one minute, finding a way to exploit them the next.

    • acm says:

      I am seriously considering skipping the 1st round altogether for those reasons – just not sure I’d be able to restrain myself and not throw a keg of beer into the TV 🙂

      Or. if I do watch it, I will make sure to use an illegal on-line stream for NFL Net or ESPN :evil laughter:

      • steve earle says:

        OH! where can I get one of those. sc*ew Goodell and the NFL.

        • acm says:

          you could just google NFL Network/ESPN stream or check here:

        • steve earle says:

          Thanks amc I’ll pass on the first couple hours or so I think then just catch up to see who got taken by who. Not giving Goodell/NFL any more ratings then I can help.

        • steve earle says:

          Oh yea I forgot– F*ck Goodell!

  6. Matt says:

    7 Round Mock

    2(60) Davonte Booker or Kenneth Dixon RB
    2(61) Hassan Ridgeway DT
    3(91) Traded away for a 4th and 5th round pick since Pats have suck a wide gap in between picks
    3(96) Kalen Reed CB
    4th round Joe Haeg OT
    5th round Keyarris Garret WR
    6(196) DJ White CB
    6(204) Nick Kwiatkowski LB
    6(208) Kevin Hogan QB
    6(214) Wendell Smallwood RB
    6(221) Mike Thomas WR
    7(243) Joel Heath DT (Said to possibly be converted to OT)
    7(250) Keenan Reynolds RB/WR

  7. Dan says:

    Mike, when you stick with football, you’re a good writer/analyst. When you go doomsday mode with the Red Sox and The Celtics and other sports that you know nothing about, you come across as a real dink. Please stick to football

  8. Stephen J says:

    Man if Dallas chooses Jalen Ramsey what a backfield duo that would be in Byron Jones and Jalen Ramsey

    • matt says:

      Yea the Cowboys would be in good shape if they did that. They would be even better if they drafted a QB. They have need one for a few years now.

  9. acm says:

    Nice effort, Mike, although I doubt there are many Patriots fans who really care about a first-round mock this year.

    Which reminds me – F*ck Goodell.

    P.S. Jihad Ward to Cards in late 1st is a bit of a head-scratcher, imo. Not the fit, the value.

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