2013 Play The Draft Challenge: Boom/Bust Prospects

Jamie Collins NFL Draft

This Southern Miss defensive prospect might be worth the risk.

NEPD Editor: James Christensen

If you haven’t joined our Play The Draft League, you still have time to compete and win some free prizes.

I’ve gone over some over-valued and under-valued prospects before – today I look at some 2013 NFL Draft prospects that will either make you rich or break you.

Margus Hunt (DL, SMU)
Market: 43

If an NFL team becomes seduced by Hunt’s height / weight / workout numbers, a first round pick isn’t out of the question. However, if they look at that fact that he will be a 26 year old rookie that is still pretty raw on the field.

The Patriots have been linked to Hunt at the 29th pick, but I can realistically see Hunt falling out of the top 100 picks – netting you a total of $0 in our Play The Draft game.

Verdict: Avoid

Jamie Collins (OLB, Southern Miss)
Market: 70

If you aren’t familiar with Collins, go check out his scouting report and come on back.

Collins is perhaps the most explosive athlete in this draft, with a 41.5″ vertical leap and 139″ broad jump. He is absolutely shredded physically and can run, hit and cover from the OLB position.

Unfortunately, his playing weight was closer to 230 pounds although he bulked up to 250 for the NFL Combine. If NFL teams feel he can handle his duties as an OLB at that weight, he could easily be a first round pick. If not, there is a possibility he could fall late into the third round.

Verdict: Definitely Worth the Risk

Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State)
Market: 9

I love Werner’s game and if I were the Jacksonville Jaguars GM I would have a tough time passing Werner or Barkevious Mingo with the 2nd pick. However, if Jacksonville does pass on him, the big German could end up falling completely out of the top ten.

If NFL teams overlook some of Werner’s motor concerns and just focus on what is he able to do, this will be a nice pickup with some room for upside. A tumble into the teens, however, would be very costly on your bottom line.

Verdict: Take a Chance

Sheldon Richardson (DL, Missouri)
Market: 15

Depending on how Richardson performed in the interviews at the NFL Combine, he could be picked anywhere from the top of the first round to the latter stages of day one. His talent on the field is undeniable, but the question has always been if he could keep his head on straight.

If he has NFL teams convinced, you could be handsomely rewarded – if not, there is a long fall from 15 to the 30’s.

Verdict: Take a Chance

Now go join our Play The Draft League and find your own Boom / Bust prospects!

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2 Responses to “2013 Play The Draft Challenge: Boom/Bust Prospects”

  1. J H TARBORO says:

    I disagree about the Margus Hunt comment, i’m quite sure he’s a smart guy and he learn the finer points of the game quickly and with his freakish athletic ability and rawness, 2 questions would be asked 1) At 26yrs. old how long do expect to play ? 2) How committed to the game of football are you? I still wouldn’t pick him at #29.

    • Ken W says:

      Given his age I wouldn’t draft him in the first round, but with his size and skills if he is still there in the 2nd then go for it.

      Plus Bill has a pretty good record of picking guys in Bruce Feldman annual Freak List, which Hunt is on this year. Here is the rundown of players on the Freak List that Bill drafted or signed as undrafted free agents:

      Jeff Demps
      Donta Hightower was on the “just missed the cut” list.
      Nate Solder
      Marcus Cannon

      Other notable players that have been on the list:

      Doug Martin
      Robert Griffin III
      Brian Orakpo

      Obviously there are boom/bust players on the list every year but in those later rounds why not take a chance on some of those guys.

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