2013 NFL Draft: New Projections after Free Agency’s First Waves

17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

Following a disappointing pro day workout and still facing medical questions, Jarvis Jones’ draft stock is on a downward slide. The Georgia outside linebacker’s slide should stop at the Pittsburgh Steelers, where Jones would be a great fit to replace James Harrison and spark the Steelers’ pass-rush.

While Jones is not the most explosive pass-rusher in the draft class, he is better than his measurables would indicate. He is an instinctive player who finds ways to the backfield and has a playmaking knack, and has ability to both rush off the edge and set the edge can make him a three-down asset as a 3-4 outside linebacker.

18. Dallas Cowboys: Chance Warmack, G, Alabama

If one of the draft’s top two guard prospects is still available when the Dallas Cowboys pick at No. 18 overall, either would be a great choice. The Cowboys desperately need an upgrade over Mackenzy Bernadeau at right guard, and both Chance Warmack and Jonathan Cooper are great value in the second half of Round 1.

In this case, with Warmack still available, he should be the selection. Warmack is a massive, powerful mauling guard with great feet and efficient technique. He can step in immediately as a right guard upgrade, and has the potential to develop into an All-Pro.

The Cowboys need to solidify their offensive line, and adding Warmack would be a terrific start.

19. New York Giants: Cornellius “Tank” Carradine, DE, Florida State

The New York Giants pass-rush started to lose its luster last season. With Osi Umenyiora an unrestricted free agent and Justin Tuck entering the last year of his contract, the New York Giants could very well target another pass-rushing defensive end to line up opposite Jason Pierre-Paul with their first-round pick.

Cornellius “Tank” Carradine’s stock is hurt by a torn ACL suffered in November, but assuming he can recover fully, he is one of the draft’s most talented pass-rushing defensive ends. The Giants could afford to bring Carradine along slowly in 2013 — potentially starting his season on the Physically Unable to Perform list — but groom him as Tuck’s eventual replacement in the lineup in 2014.

Carradine is a well-rounded and explosive defensive end with star pass-rushing potential. Going forward, Pierre-Paul and Carradine could be one of the NFL’s elite pass-rushing combinations.

20. Chicago Bears: Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU

After officially moving on from the Brian Urlacher era, the Chicago Bears got to work in rebuilding their linebacker corps with free-agent additions of D.J. Williams and James Anderson. Even so, the Bears should still be in the market for a long-term cog with the potential to continue the team’s great historic legacy of middle linebackers.

LSU’s Kevin Minter is the best all-around middle linebacker in the draft class. He is an instinctive playmaker who is consistently around the football, tackles soundly and is effective in both blitzing and coverage.

The Bears need to find a new leader for their linebacker corps in the post-Urlacher era, and if Minter is still available with their first-round pick, he should be the guy.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

With two second-round draft picks, few pressing needs and still plentiful cap room, the Cincinnati Bengals can draft for value over need with the No. 21 overall pick. That is why the Bengals could make a splash with their first-round pick and add another dynamic playmaker at wide receiver with Tennessee’s Cordarrelle Patterson.

Patterson is a game-changer with the ball in his hands. He is great at extending plays in the open field with his speed and quickness, but is also a big receiver who can make plays outside. Paired with A.J. Green as the No. 2 receiver, the Bengals could have one of the NFL’s most dangerous receiving duos, while adding a player who can also run the ball out of the backfield and return kicks and punts.

Patterson is one of the best talents available, and would add another big playmaker to the Bengals’ offense.

22. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins): Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

The St. Louis Rams could still use more playmakers on their offense, and with the loss of Danny Amendola to the New England Patriots, they also need a new slot receivers. Bringing both of those together, the Rams would make a great choice by adding a tremendous slot receiver and explosive offensive weapon in West Virginia’s Tavon Austin with one of their two first-round draft picks.

With a rare combination of open-field quickness and straight-line speed, Austin can turn any play into a big play. He is a truly dynamic offensive weapon who makes up for his lack of size with crisp route-running and the speed and moves to run away from defenders.

The Rams have made some key additions in free agency to help quarterback Sam Bradford by signing tight end Jared Cook and left tackle Jake Long, but adding Austin would give Bradford another fantastic weapon to work with.

23. Minnesota Vikings: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

With one of their two first-round picks, the Minnesota Vikings should be in the market for an upgrade at defensive tackle. Ohio State’s Johnathan Hankins is great value at the No. 23 overall pick, and could be exactly what they need on their interior defensive line.

Hankins is a big, powerful nose tackle with good quickness and penetration ability for his size. He can be both a space-eater and a disruptive force inside next to Kevin Williams, which the Vikings have not had since Pat Williams’ 2011 departure broke up the “Williams Wall.”

24. Indianapolis Colts: Arthur Brown, ILB, Kansas State

The Indianapolis Colts do not have many impact players on their defense, and having starting to shore up their offensive line with some key free-agent signings, they could look to that side of the ball with their first-round pick. A great choice would be Kansas State’s Arthur Brown, who has the potential to be a tremendous 3-4 inside linebacker.

Brown is an athletic inside linebacker who is an effective tackler in space with a nose for the football. He is an aggressive and effective blitzer, but also fluid dropping back into coverage. He would be an upgrade to the Colts’ linebacker corps and continue the team’s aggressive rebuilding effort on the defensive side of the ball.

25. Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle Seahawks): DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson

After going defensive tackle two picks earlier, the Minnesota Vikings should be in the market for another wide receiver to start opposite Greg Jennings with the No. 25 overall pick, one of the picks they acquired from the Seattle Seahawks in exchange for star playmaker Percy Harvin.

Hopkins is a big, athletic receiver who runs clean routes, has terrific hands and does a great job tracking the football to go up and get it. He is a great fit for the Vikings to add some much-needed size to their receiving corps and give quarterback Christian Ponder another playmaker to work with on the outside and downfield.

26. Green Bay Packers: Datone Jones, DE, UCLA

The Green Bay Packers should be in the market for an explosive interior defensive lineman who can line up as a 5-technique defensive end and next to B.J. Raji in the two-man nickel front as an interior pass-rusher. UCLA’s Datone Jones would be a great fit for that role.

Jones didn’t exactly play like a first-round pick at UCLA, but he has huge upside for a 3-4 scheme like that of the Packers. He has an outstanding combination of size (6’4”, 283) and quickness, and can be an asset as both an inside rusher and as help in interior run defense.

27. Houston Texans: D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama

The Derek Newton experiment was a failure last season at right tackle for the Houston Texans. If Alabama’s D.J. Fluker is still available at the No. 27 overall pick, he would be a very smart choice to upgrade the right side of the offensive line.

Long, powerful and with good movement skills, Fluker has the potential to be a very good starting right tackle. He is the only remaining offensive tackle on the board worth a first-round pick, and would fill one of the Texans’ greatest needs.

28. Denver Broncos: Manti Te’o, ILB, Notre Dame

The Denver Broncos should be looking to strengthen their interior run defense, and one way they can do that is by upgrading at middle linebacker. Notre Dame inside linebacker Manti Te’o has seen his stock slip in recent weeks, but he is great value late in the first round, and could be a great addition to the Broncos’ linebacker corps.

While he disappointed by coming into the combine smaller than expected at only 241 pounds, he is a sound run-stopper who fills holes well and makes plays in space. With overblown off-field issues aside, Te’o is one of the best players available at this point in the draft and worth a late first-round pick.

29. New England Patriots: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

Even with re-signing Aqib Talib and Kyle Arrington, the New England Patriots should be in the market for another cornerback early in the 2013 NFL draft. With Talib only signed to a one-year contract, and fellow starter Alfonzo Dennard facing possible prison time, drafting another starting cornerback in Round 1 would be smart if Mississippi State’s Johnthan Banks falls to the No. 29 overall pick.

Banks is a great fit for the Patriots’ secondary, with great length and size, good instincts, great ball skills and physical play. He is great value late in the first round, and is ready to contribute immediately while he could be groomed into Talib’s long-term replacement as the No. 1 cornerback.

30. Atlanta Falcons: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

Assuming the Atlanta Falcons do not bring back Brent Grimes, what appeared to be a very deep position group at cornerback will instead be very thin. The Falcons need to add youth and talent at the position, and Washington’s Desmond Trufant could be a strong possibility late in Round 1.

Trufant is a quickly-rising prospect with good size, athleticism, physical play and coverage instincts, and is the best in zone coverage among the top cornerbacks available. He has the potential to be the No. 1 cornerback the Falcons need to replace Grimes, start opposite Samuel and give them a real playmaker at the cornerback position.

31. San Francisco 49ers: Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State

The San Francisco 49ers need to rebuild their secondary, and with a run on cornerbacks starting late in Round 1, they should use their late first-round pick to select the best cornerback available in Boise State’s Jamar Taylor.

A physical cornerback who excels in press man coverage, Taylor would be a very good fit and upgrade in the 49ers’ defensive scheme.

32. Baltimore Ravens: Johnathan Cyprien, SS, Florida International

With a number of needs and a consistent organizational emphasis on value, it is very likely that the Baltimore Ravens will trade down from the No. 32 overall pick. If they stay put, however, Florida International strong safety Johnathan Cyprien would be a great fit to add an impact player to their defense.

Following the departure of legendary safety Ed Reed, the Ravens need to find another striker and ballhawk to lead their secondary on the back end. The Ravens could get that from Cyprien, a rangy playmaker who could fill the void at strong safety next to free-agent acquisition Michael Huff, giving the Ravens a younger, athletic and hard-hitting pair of safeties.

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27 Responses to “2013 NFL Draft: New Projections after Free Agency’s First Waves”

  1. Mark says:

    I think Miami would grab Milliner instead of Lane Johnson. If they thought Milliner would be there at 12 why trade?

  2. J H TARBORO says:

    According to the NFL network the (49er, Bengals, Patriots, and Miami) are briging in Tavon Austin for a workout, why should we do that, if we can’t or have no chance to get him? He’s a personal favorite.

    • acm says:

      just doing their due diligence – obviously he is a player they are interested in and should he somehow fall to the Pats, they want to know if he indeed would be worth a 1st round pick.

      I can see the Pats move up to maybe 26 (Packers) if they really, really like Austin and he miraculously falls there … and that way they would also prevent Denver and Houston from taking him. For that to happen, however, you’d need at least 5-6 teams that would be interested in Austin to pass on him. To make matters worse, two such team – the Rams and the Vikings have 2 picks in the 1st, well before 29 or even 26.

      I just hope the 49ers don’t decide to trade up for him as they have a whole lot of picks they can’t use anyway. Wouldn’t be shocked if they used 3-4 and even 5 of those picks to move up 10-12 spots should Austin made it past Miami and St Louis (their 1st pick in the 1st round).

      • J H TARBORO says:

        ACM You of all people know how i feel about this one, i would be sick if the 49ers got him! when he we get him here for a workout, we shouldn’t let him leave. lol

      • J H TARBORO says:

        thanks for the glimmer hope, acm i appreciate you. thanks !

        • acm says:

          lol, you are welcome, JHT 🙂

          I know you like Austin a lot and I share those sentiments but would be best for your overall health to just forget about him.

          My biggest hope regarding this guy is that he goes to an average team as that way at least he won’t be strengthening a contender and a direct Patriots rival.

          The Rams or Minny still look like the most likely destinations for this guy and I am fine with that.

          How ’bout that glimmer of hope now? 🙂

  3. steve earle says:

    This would be a very good draft for the Patriots though I do think it is a little optomistic to thing Rhodes, Trufant, and Banks will be all an option at 29. Still I can find little to complain about the selections otherwise as it covers all three of the most critical needs with good prospects.

    Russell Easterbrooks lists several very good players who could be options if BB trades back as Russell and others believe he will. I would add Alex Okafor to that list if I were Russell.

    There is still a chance that Mallett could be the subject of some trade talks the closer we get to draft day. I would not expect any deal to be made there until the draft is underway how ever. If that should come about I’d expect no more then a couple mid round choices this year but given the depth of talent it could mean another couple of talented prospects.

    • cc says:

      A dull murmur coming from Cleveland, bit nothing solid….as long as we get “better” than the equivalent 3rd rounder + “anything” more than that was spent on em’…I send Mallet anywhere!
      & I’d squeeze anything else I could in the deal, such as J. Cunningham, B. Deaderick or another.

      Just getting this 3rd rounder back for Mallet is just the extra draft ammo that we need in order to add some 3rd round listed like maybe a Da’Rick Rogers WR. Kwame Geathers DT/NT. Travis Frederick C/G or a Justin Pugh G/ROT.

      Which means either one of the first slated 3 picks will be just that much better!

      Trade Mallet+….check!

      Then use a next year pick and toss the two this year seventh rounders in too make it that much better for “MORE SERIOUS IMPACT PLAYERS NOW”…..check!

      *****that gives the Patriots “5” 2013 Draft Picks!

      • steve earle says:

        I like your positive attitude about some kind of trade for Mallett, cc. I’m now more open to a trade for something like a 3rd and a 5th then I was a few weeks ago. The more research I do the deeper the draft talent pool looks. BB says he would want a 1st or 2nd but I’d be surprised if that happened. Most likely though I think Bill will keep him around for at least this year. Just my gut feeling.

        • J H TARBORO says:

          Steve E. Mallett trade might still be on the table, Tampa made a run at Cassell and they aren’t sure about Josh Freeman, that wasn’t their guy, and BB and Greg Schiano are friends.

      • J H TARBORO says:

        The Patriots should be shopping Mallett hard right now!

        • steve earle says:

          From what I’ve heard Bill is “listening” to any offers but want’s at least a 2nd rd pick for Mallett. Not sure that’s very realistic. Looks like Clev is off the short list now so it may be as you say that TBay might be the last chance. QB’s are being shuffled all around right now so the dust is hard to see through. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mallett still with us this year but who knows?

  4. kdog says:

    Interesting Mock.

    I feel more and more that LBs who can run, like Minter and Arthur Brown, will shoot up the board. So I agree with you there.

    Personally I don’t think Banks is a good value at 29, though. Short at 59? Yes. But Banks belongs in a group o 2nd-3rd round CBs.

  5. Thrilloreilly says:

    Not a fan of this draft, Patriots are lacking at DT/WR/CB

    WR corps is lacking big time and they should trade back for more picks

    Id ideally like to see them draft a WR early second and third and also double dip at CB in 2nd and 4th. Utilize a 3rd on DT position.

    • cc says:

      I’ll take this draft & be good. You say your not a fan…yet you state the biggest 3 needs and they are all met within the third round ( using 3rd with the Steelers or in Draft).
      Round 1 pick.
      (top tier pick at Corner; a massive need, “now” & “1st thing next year”).
      Round 2 pick.
      A decent piece VS re-treads/UFA/and later slim pickings to go next to Big Vince- A Glaring need.

      Round 3.
      & AWide Out either way, using less than what was used on…..Taylor Price
      Bethall Johnson
      Brandon Tate
      OR the Chad Jackson 2006 debacle instead of Gregg Jennings.

      * As far as the thinking of still being low on another Wide Out? Just use a next year pick ( Either 1st, 2nd or 3rd rounder), & use it for the best Wide Out for TB12 “Anywhere” in between our #91 and UP.

    • cc says:

      You say your not a fan of the mock – bu it address ALL 3 of your stated lacking needs. DT. CB. & WR!

      + you specify WR is lacking big time(as in more than the otherpositions), yet double dip on CB’s not at the Wide Out?

      Id do this draft as is and be good with it:
      *But id specifically insert a next year pick/use it this year & specifically target
      & add Robert Woods (WR) – USC!

      Top Teir wide receiver talant. + I make sure hes not playing for an AFC Division Rival like Buffalo knowing Matt Barkley is a round earlier target for them as well. No need to give any synergy to Buffalo.

  6. patsfan says:

    Would be happy with Banks and Short in the first 2 rounds but would much rather Da’Rick Rogers than Bailey. I think the Pats need to get bigger at WR and drafting another 5 10 guy just doesnt cut it.

    This is kind of off topic but anyone have any thoughts around Jake Bequette and what he will do this year? He put up really good #s in college and I am hoping for a 2nd year jump in his play time/development.

    • Russell Easterbrooks says:

      I like Bequette more as a DE/LB than just DE. I know he has worked hard in the weight room. I see him getting more time this year.

    • steve earle says:

      Been thinking about this. They say bigest jump is between 1st and 2nd year so there is some hope but we saw so little of Bequette last season how do we judge where he may be this season?

  7. Russell Easterbrooks says:

    Interesting Mock draft ! Of course it is easy to look at players who were not taken by the Patriots, and then make your picks. I feel BB will target players he would like to draft, who the Patriots have a good chance to get.
    My draft board for the Patriots, has guys I think fit with the Patriots/BB type players/system. These are the 16 players I have narrow my draft board down to, knowing the Patriots only have 5 picks.

    OG/C Barrett Jones CB Jordan Poyer WR Markus Wheaton
    OG/T Brian Winters CB Logan Ryan WR Terrance Williams
    DT Jesse Williams CB Micah Hyde WR Mark Harrison
    DT Brandon Williams CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson

    DE/LB Cornelius Washington RB Derrick Washington
    DE/LB John Simon LB DaVonte Holloman
    DE Cornellius Carradine

    Now these player’s except of a couple of guys , will be in the first three rounds. Barrett Jones, and Cornellius Carradine would most likely be on the PUP list for half the coming season, which may offer roster flexiblity, for the Patriots. Cornellius Washington, played out of position (DE) at Georgia, and will be a developing player at LB over the coming season. I feel the same about John Simon, as a developing player at LB. DaVonte Holloman has better size, for a cover LB at 6’2″ 246, and played S and LB at South Carolina, giving him good cover skills.
    Jesse Williams will most likely be gone when the Patriots pick.
    If BB trades back, many of these players will be available, and of course many more on the draft board. I feel three of these guys will be on the Patriot team next year.

    • Russell Easterbrooks says:

      I have watched tape on each of these players, studied interviews, and watched two in person. There are many other great players, but you just can’t have them all. Last year I had 3 Patriot player’s ,draft picks correct. The year before just two, so its very hard to narrow the players down to THE picks. BB is very interesting when it comes to, study some of the things he looks for in players, intangables/flexibility are important.

    • kdog says:

      I like your list, Russell. I’ve become convinced they will look for a 3-4 OLB who can run a bit. Washington and Simon are intriguing middle-round targets.

      I also love Jesse Williams, but think he’ll be gone. If he dropped I’d be all over him, though. They could do so much with him and Vince on the field together, and long term he would replace Vince.

    • acm says:

      that’s a pretty good board with all logical/likely options … not surprisingly I think so considering many of these players are on my board too 🙂

      Probably the main diff is that I fully expect the Pats to make some trades, with trading out of the first round being the most obvious one, and as a result I have more players left on the board for the 7-8 picks I think BB lines up this April.

      Actually, the only player up there I think that has to be taken at 29 is Jesse Williams (if he falls there at all that is). other than that, all the rest are likely to fall into the 2nd, imo.

      Only player you have up there I can’t see as a likely BB pick would be Terrance Williams. He has the deep threat speed, not blazing fast but good enough, and tracks and catches the ball well but is too one-dimensional in his route-running (not unlike Mike Wallace) and that makes him an unlikely fit in the Pats O, imo.

      • Russell Easterbrooks says:

        OK, I feel Jesse Williams will be gone by #29, but some have him in the 2nd round (unlikely). I believe DT Brandon Williams is the guy they want, and maybe Barrett Jones. Trading the #29th pick looks likely to me, But?? I also think Micah Hyde, is a tackling machine, and high on BB want list, along with Williams.
        I’m feeling less and less likely that we draft a WR until the 3d or later.
        Tampa is my projected trade partner for the #29th pick, given thier want list. They may have interest in Mallett as well.
        When I set my Patriot draft picks (5) I will asume there will be more picks, and list guys for all of my 5 picks from rounds 2-4.

        • steve earle says:

          I like your general assessement here and agree Jesse Williams will be gone by 29. I’ve come around to the idea BB may trade out of the 1st. I would like either Brandon Williams or Alex Okafor in the second ( both if it lined up just right).
          Question, where do you see the kid from Mar’ld, Vellano, going and would Bill be looking at him somewhere?

        • Russell Easterbrooks says:

          Not sure about DT Vallano , just not enough picks. I feel DT Brandon Williams, is a targeted player by BB. I like Vallano, more as a DE than DT in the NFL.

        • steve earle says:

          Agree completely with your assessement of Vellano at DE in pro’s. Watching him on tape reminds me of Tedy Bruschi. The guy is always around the action making plays. I know, just not enough picks for us this year, but if Bill trade down as you think that could gain us 1 or 2 more and in the now more unlikely prospect of a Mallett deal another 1 or 2 Bill might have something to work with. This would be a best case scenario of course so I’ll not hold my breath.

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