2013 NFL Mock Draft: Post-Super Bowl Predictions

Johnthan Banks 2013 NFL Draft

Could this talented defensive back fall to the Patriots at the end of round one in the 2013 NFL Draft?

NEPD Contributor: Peter Bukowksi

Updated 2/4

Now that the draft order is essentially set and underclassmen have had to declare, it’s prudent to start looking at potential scenarios for the draft. This early, particularly before free agency gets going and the offseason workouts for the prospects have happened, these types of projections are more about finding 32 players who are most likely to be drafted in the first round than they are for accuracy.

You can determine what the needs for each team will be based on the roster, and get a feel for who might be there at various points in the draft. This is a difficult draft to project right now because teams are split on many of the elite prospects and the important positions like quarterback. While there may only be one or two quarterbacks with first round grades, we could see three or four taken in the first round and maybe even six taken in the top 50.

It’s early, but everyone loves a mock draft.

1. Kansas City Chiefs – Geno Smith QB West Virginia
Even the scouts who like Smith concede that he’s probably only about the 10th best player in the draft. That certainly doesn’t adhere to what GM Ken Dorsey says he’ll do with this pick – he’s said he’ll go best available – but the Mountaineers quarterback is the best player at the biggest need position for the Chiefs. If Brandon Albert is re-signed, there isn’t really much value anywhere else. Still, this would be a pretty big reach in my opinion.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars – Bjoern Werner DE Florida State
Jacksonville doesn’t just need a pass-rusher, they need a star. Werner reminds me of former Michigan defensive end LaMarr Woodley and if he can consistently bring his energy and fire, Werner’s physical tools are elite. Star Lotulelei may be a safer pick and is aptly named for what the Jaguars seek, but he doesn’t have the upside of Werner and it seems as though ownership in Jacksonville wants to make a splash.

3. Oakland Raiders – Damontre Moore DE Texas A&M
This will be GM Reggie McKenzie’s first real draft, considering he didn’t have a pick in the top 90 last year thanks to the Carson Palmer trade. To be able to get a stud pass-rusher to supplement an anemic defense will be a great start. Moore brings explosiveness off the corner and should be stout enough to handle the corner in Oakland’s 4-3 defense.

4. Philadelphia Eagles – Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M
Aggies go back-to-back in the biggest no-brainer of the draft if it plays out this way. The Eagles are desperate for a tackle and Joeckel is an elite pass-blocker coming out of College Station. He also happens to be the top overall prospect in the draft which means Philadelphia couldn’t possibly get better value at this pick. There have been recent rumblings about Ryan Nassib at this spot to pre-empt the Bills getting him, but if Joeckel is here, I don’t see Chip Kelly passing – literally and figuratively.

5. Detroit Lions – Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia
Detroit could get lucky and have either Werner or Moore fall to them here, but if not, they could opt for the best pass-rushing linebacker in the draft. Jones has some medical concerns with a spinal condition, but his play on the field speaks for itself. He could be used in Detroit much the same way Denver uses Von Miller, both as an outside linebacker and a rush end in passing situations. This fits two needs as Cliff Avril is set to be a free agent and the Lions could use an upgrade at linebacker.

6. Cleveland Browns – Star Lotulelei DT Utah
The base of any 3-4 defense is the nose tackle and Cleveland, in switching to Ray Horton’s aggressive 3-4 scheme, doesn’t have that building block. Lotulelei is one of the few elite talents in this draft and if he falls this far, the Browns would be hard-pressed to pass him up. Despite his considerable size, Lotulelei is nimble enough that Utah even used him on zone blitzes to cover backs out of the backfield. His versatility is his biggest attribute.

7. Arizona Cardinals – Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan
Fisher’s impressive Senior Bowl week and the decision by both Jake Matthews and Tyler Lewan to return to school have pushed the Central Michigan tackle into the top 10. Fisher was one of the best players on the practice field in Mobile and held his own against some of the top defensive linemen in the draft. The Cardinals could take a look at a new quarterback here, but it wouldn’t help much if they don’t address this leaky offensive line.

8. Buffalo Bills – Ryan Nassib QB Syracuse
When early reports came out that the Bills were interested in Nassib before Doug Marrone was hired as coach, it was easy to roll your eyes. Now, the Bills are reportedly cooling on Nassib, which naturally means they’ve been in on him all along. At least three quarterbacks are rated higher on most boards, but if they’re going to reach for a quarterback here – which is exactly what taking any QB would be – then Nassib makes the most sense. That being said, some evaluators believe Nassib is the best in his class and s strong showing at his pro day could make this less of a reach once April rolls around.

9. New York Jets – Chance Warmack G Alabama
When the Jets were winning road playoff games under Rex Ryan, they were pulverizing opponents with a smash mouth brand of football. The offensive line play has dropped off considerably and has been as big a reason as any that this offense has struggled. Warmack is a top 5 talent and would bring an immediate upgrade to the guard position. Warmack is equally adept as a pass or run blocker and has tremendous value at this point in the draft. I don’t see New York drafting a quarterback in the first round because there’s no getting out from under Sanchez’s contract.

10. Tennessee Titans – Dee Milliner CB Alabama
All of the over-drafting we expect to go on with quarterbacks at the top of this draft will mean really good players should tumble. A team like the Titans could very well be the beneficiary with a player like Milliner who is a great fit in both need and value here. Milliner is a tough, physical corner who has the speed the cover deep. The Titans have great safety play, but their cornerback group is thin.

11. San Diego Chargers – Dion Jordan OLB Oregon
The Chargers used a first round pick on Melvin Ingram last year and remain optimistic about his development. However, with Shaun Phillips a free agent this offseason and Antwan Barnes coming off an injury -plagued season, a freak athlete like Jordan could be a welcome addition to this defense. There certainly are other positions of need for the Chargers, but many of the best players on the board right now are redundant given the current San Diego roster. The Charges seem like a good bet to trade down and acquire more picks, particularly given how talent-poor the Bolts are.

12. Miami Dolphins – Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri
Miami’s pick will be easier to forecast once free agency gets going because if the Dolphins pick up a receiver like Greg Jennings, then suddenly they can turn their attention to the defensive side of the ball and potentially pick up a receiver later in the draft. As it is, Richardson is the best player on the board and could give the Dolphins a stud interior pass-rusher to go with Cameron Wake. Richardson is a top 10 talent and was one of the most consistently disruptive defensive players in the nation of the last two seasons.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Barkevious Mingo DE LSU
This would be another easy decision as the Buccaneers were awful defending the pass last season and a lack of pressure was a big reason why. Mingo is talented, but undersized to play end in the NFL and could be used similarly to the way Aldon Smith was as a rookie in San Francisco. Great in space, Mingo has a relentless motor and although he isn’t the top 3 player some thought he could be going into the year, this is a great value for him here.

14. Carolina Panthers – Keenan Allen WR California
Carolina has bigger needs than at wide receiver, but Allen is the best player at his position and the potential of a Newton-to-Allen connection for the next 10 years is a pretty powerful draw for this pick. A big, physical receiver who can make catches in traffic, Allen is the ideal guy to play opposite Steve Smith and eventually replace him as the go-to receiver in this offense.

15. New Orleans Saints – Johnathan Hankins DT Ohio State
New Orleans needs some serious help on defense and the transition to a 3-4 scheme means versatile linemen are a previous commodity. Hankins can play nose tackle or the 5-technique depending on the formation and situation. He is extremely talented, blessed with tremendous quickness and strength, but his production on the field doesn’t always match his skills for whatever reason. An inside linebacker like Alec Ogletree would make some sense here as well, as the thought is Jonathan Vilma isn’t long for this world in New Orleans.

16. St. Louis Rams – Alec Ogletree LB Georgia
Although most see Ogletree as an inside linebacker in the NFL, he has the speed and playmaking abilities to play outside as well. He had the luxury of playing behind a massive defensive line at Georgia and didn’t always show a willingness to take on blocks, which may actually mean Ogletree is better suited to play outside where he’s taking on lead blockers with much less frequency. Jeff Fisher loves to go defense in the first round and Ogletree can be an impact player for this defense.

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46 Responses to “2013 NFL Mock Draft: Post-Super Bowl Predictions”

  1. GBMike says:

    The GM of KC is John Dorsey (not Ken) – your pick of Geno Smith is rediculous. Dorsey and Andy Reid won’t reach for their first pick for KC. Look for them to rebuild both the offensive and defensive lines first.

  2. Mike Allen says:

    The Pats first priority must be centered around the cornerback position, and it is two fold…. one in, and one out……. I am leaning toward Xavier Rhodes, if he is available, with David Amerson as my second choice. (Amerson is a good choice for free safety, also)…….. the other part of the cornerback situation is to get rid of the biggest piece of dead weight on the roster, Kyle Arrington, the worst cover corner in the NFL, and it doesnt matter if he is playing inside at nickel or on the outside corner position….he is the weakest link on the defensive side of the ball.

  3. Joe Blake says:

    If he is available with the 29th pick, I would like to see the Pats draft Jesse Williams, DT. A SS with the 2nd would be next. Sign Talib and Welker. 3rd pick: a wide receiver. Trade Mallett for mid rounders and draft O linemen and let Dante do his thing. Let Chung walk.

    • steve earle says:

      I could live with that although if Russell Easterbrooks is right about the Hollermen kid your ss might best be taken with the 3rd. Williams would be a great fit inside next to Wolfolk. Most mocks do have him going earlier though.

      • Russell Easterbrooks says:

        DeVonte Holloman SS/LB is projected 4th-5th round, BUT he is a better player, if his speed is good at the Combine, 4.64 40 at 6’2″ 238 he will bring a load from SS. But as BB has shown if he wants a guy he gets him, so maybe 2nd or 3d.
        Cooper Taylor is another SS/LB 6’4″ 230 4.57 40 is a similar type, who has Med. issues ,cleared by surgery. Cooper is projected 5th-6th, mainly because of Med. issue.

        • steve earle says:

          For Hollorman to move up into the 2nd he would need to run better then 4.62 and also surpass expatitions in a number of other tests. I allowed he possably slip into the low 3rd rd in reply to Joe Blake’s comment but I think that’s about it.

  4. J.H TARBORO says:

    Just in,Detriot Lion WR Titus Young just released. A possible bargain for New England.

    • steve earle says:

      I liked the guy at Boise St. kind of on the light side, I’m surprised he didn’t work for the lions. As a fa he could be worth picking up if the price is right.

    • Russell Easterbrooks says:

      I would pick -up Chris Rainey that the steelers let go. I had the Pats drafting him last year.

    • Russell Easterbrooks says:

      Titus Young has got a big mouth, and clearly is not a team player,….just the guy for the Raiders!!!!! Patriots no-way!

  5. baba says:

    Belichik will not produce more SB , he is not best in drafting .

  6. baba says:

    The best pick would be Milliner , but it’s a dream ! Belichik has never picks best players , he looks for best athletes , that is is why he rarely successful . He and Brady past their pick performance , don’t expect more SB , will not happened !

    • steve earle says:

      I think it’s not so much him drafting athletes it’s drafting “value picks” and trading down to accumulate future picks. He struck giold with Brady doing that but that won’t happen again. His value picks provide a team of good depth year after year but lacks those players like Brusci, Law, McGinnest. Thoughs he has gotten like Asante Samual, he will not pay to keep them. That is why we are always looking to fill this hole or that. With a little less playing the collect draft picks game and actually drafting potential play makers I believe we could have had 2 or 3 more Super Bowl wins to our credit.

  7. Jim R says:

    …..and with the 9th pick in the 2013 draft the New York Jets select ………Leon Sandcastle

  8. AM says:

    Banks is a nice pick, but I’d be pretty surprised if he dropped that far.

    • Russell Easterbrooks says:

      I agree, S Vaccaro, CB Trufant, CB Milliner (a bust anyway) and CB Banks gone befoe #29. CB Poyer to Detriot in the 2nd if we don’t take him 1st.

  9. russell easterbooks says:

    I like Banks alot and is rated higher on my board than Rhodes, Reid, or Trufant. This Mock also would mean the Patriots would pass on, DE Datone Jones, OG/C Barrett Jones, ect. HMMMM
    I have Banks going sooner than #29. The fact that BB may trade back still looks like the best option. It all depends who the Pats target as the player(s) they want. Trading back with Dallas or the Bears, would bring a second pick at #47 or #50 to add to our pick at #59, plus a 4th rounder and maybe a 4th next year. If the Patriots target players in this area, this looks very good to me! I feel very sure the Pats take two CB’s in this draft 1 early and 1 in the 7th. I also think an OG/T and a SS/LB type. WR is a need, and that maybe what BB goes for, the last early darft pick for a WR was Branch.
    If I could make this trade;
    #47 or #50 CB Jorden Poyer or OG/T Brain Winters
    #59 ……..OG/T Brain Winters or (if no Poyer) CB Darius Slay
    #91 …….. SS/LB DaVonte Holloman or DE/LB John Simon
    #111 or 114 DT Joe Vellano or WR Conner Vernon
    7th……. CB/S Keith McGill or CB Demetrius McCray
    7th……. QB Sean Renfree (if we trade Mallett) or WR Aaron Mellette

    • steve earle says:

      Russell you keep making the case for this trade down scenario but I don’t know. Bill has to know Brady’s time is short, couple years, three? Any realistic chance of another SB win depends on getting playmakers on the tean not just guys who will do, the so called value picks. Like many other fans, I’m hoping for one or two prospects to fill that roll. After that if we get a couple others for sub packages or what not, fine. Bill traded up last year with great results, now I know we don’t have the ammo this year to do it but trading down is not very likely to fill the very real needs on this team. Really no one knows what Bill will do at this point but as I recall everybody expected him to trade down last year too and were shocked when he went the other way. At this stage I’d say it’s 50/50 on which way he’ll go.

      • Russell Easterbrooks says:

        I think BB sees the team in the long term , and NOT what he has to do now, to win next year, but for many years to come. Team Money is important too, part of the future. Tom won’t play for ever, but the team will.
        We could trade up by sending our 1st pick and QB Ryan Mallett to Cleveland for thier 1st pick #6. What would you do with it? OT Fisher and let Vollmer hit the road? Take OG Warmack, an all-pro a G for 8-10 years? take CB Milliner , with only 1 year of college foot played? (A Bust I think) Trade that choice to move back for more picks? BB traded up last year and we got two starters, I thought he would trade one of those picks and get more picks. The year before we got Nate Solder with the 1st pick. So maybe we should go after one guy?
        I see the talent in the 2nd-3d rounds being very good, at a better value long term for the team. More players, better value , or one guy? Solder is very good, as are Jones and Hightower, sound choices for the teams future. After the Combine we will have a better , look at the best players, but I think its 90/10 we trade back Or get future picks next year.

        • steve earle says:

          What would I do with the #6, let me count the ways!!!!!
          Really though my best plan would be trade down to 10 to 15 range picking up an additional 4th this year then take Vaccaro for ss. Then trade 29 down for a high to mid 2nd and another 4th and draft Wheaton wr. Keep our 59 with an eye on either Chris Faulk ot or Tank Carradine de (medical conditions pending) Gathers dt at 91 and with 3 x 4’s look to o line, cb and another d line, who and in which order depending on our pick at 59. Both 7’s then could be free to try to find sleeper, like Dennard.

        • Nuf Ced says:

          “We could trade up by sending our 1st pick and QB Ryan Mallett to Cleveland for thier 1st pick #6.”

          Why in Gods name would Cleveland do that? This sounds as logical as Bedard and a BleacherReport article… actually sounds just like it 😉

          I can’t see Lombardi risking the capital of a 6th pick in the new salary structure to acquire a 3rd year backup QB that has completed 1 of 4 passes in his pro career.

        • steve earle says:

          Nuf Ced said it. Of course Cleveland wouldn’t go from #6 to #29 for Mallett. Interesting thought though, something to fool around with here. Can’t see Clev willing to drop more then half dozen spots under any conditions really.

        • Russell Easterbrooks says:

          OK than as Cleveland you would draft a guy out of this QB class, 1st ? Lets not forget Cleveland has NO- 2nd pick ,Guys. So Cleveland would get a QB ,as good as any in this class, and still have a 1st pick at #29. Sounds very fair for Cleveland, in fact very smart move!

        • Russell Easterbrooks says:

          Steve we would send #29 to Cleveland. Vaccaro SS is agreat pick, if we could trade back, and pick-up a 4th and still have a 10-15 1st round pick to get Vaccaro SS or ???

        • AM says:

          Cleveland will stick with Brandon Weeden this year; he showed some potential, and they’re not going to give up on a first-round pick so easily, especially not for an untested backup. They’re much better off trading back a few spots at a time, and taking a shotgun approach to drafting WRs in such a deep draft.

          Also, maligned as it may be, many teams still use the draft trade chart, which shows that the price for a drop that far is a mid-first-round pick. You really think Mallett is worth that?

        • steve earle says:

          Oops, thinking about my mock if we had Clev 1#1 I realized I goofed. We would have no #29 to trade down for the wr in the 2nd. As the kids say, my bad.

    • Billy C. says:

      You forgot Jackson the WR the Pats traded up in the second round to draft out of Florida four or five years ago. In addition, the Pats drafted Bethel Johnson in the second round. That was another complete bust.

  10. boyd says:

    hah Geno Smith top 10 player…lol hes BARELY one of the top 10 qbs!

    • steve earle says:

      Short QB class for sure but come on he is the best this year. I suspect boyd has a different player he favors but trashing a kid in this forum won’t make it happen.

  11. Mike says:

    I seriously doubt the Pats will get one of the elite CBs in this draft. Detroit has no one on their roster that’s even nickel cover quality. They will go CB 1st rd because of the positional depth at DL and LB.

  12. acm says:

    I think I would rather see the Pats take Rhodes or Trufant – need some zest in the secondary.
    This being said, best guess is all these mock drafts with tha Pats drafting in the1st would prove to be useless come April.

    • AM says:

      Agreed on the “zest;” we need aggressive, hypercompetitive CBs. I’d love Trufant, but with a good Combine he could end up being a top-20 pick.

      • steve earle says:

        I’ve wondered why Trufant isn’t mocked in the 1st rd for a long time. Probably because most offenses threw to the other side so his numbers look average but I’ve read he has run a 4.42/ 40. I’m always kind of careful when I hear times like that but even if he doesn’t run that at the combine anything sub 4.5 should move his stock up. How high is anyones guess.

        • AM says:

          It might have been questions about his strength, physicality, tackling, etc. The Senior Bowl practices may have put a few of those to rest (although I have to wonder about teams that value all-star games over hours and hours of game film).

        • steve earle says:

          Agree, all star games are over rated what with their special rules and such. Best that can be said for them is they give scouts eyeball looks at pratices and face to faces. He did play well, from what I’ve read, at Senior Bowl and strength may be checked at the combine. Just have to wait and see.

        • Russell Easterbrooks says:

          He ran pretty fast running down that guy returning the kick-off in the bowl game!!

  13. Jagsman says:

    i would go with moore over werner because he fits the Leo Position a bit better.

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