2013 NFL Mock Draft: Post-Combine Projections

Sheldon Richardson NFL Draft

Sheldon Richardson has moved way up the board to the No. 1 overall spot in this week’s mock draft. (WeAreMizzou.com)

NEPD Staff Writer: Dan Hope

Updated March 1st

The draft picture looks a whole lot different after the 2013 NFL Scouting Combine than it did going in.

The projected No. 1 overall pick in last week’s mock draft, Utah defensive tackle Star Lotulelei, was red flagged at the combine for a heart condition, which caused him to drop from the top spot. Meanwhile, the potential for West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith to take the top spot also became very unlikely when reports came forward Wednesday that the Kansas City Chiefs are trading their second-round pick to the San Francisco 49ers for quarterback Alex Smith.

How did those events, as well as all the players who made a bigger name for themselves at the combine, affect the picture in this mock draft, now less than two months away from the 2013 NFL draft? Read through the following pages to find out.

1. Kansas City Chiefs: Sheldon Richardson, DE, Missouri

In the past week, Missouri’s Sheldon Richardson has gone from a sleeper to be the No. 1 overall pick to a forefront candidate.

With the Chiefs reportedly having a deal in place to acquire Alex Smith from the San Francisco 49ers, a quarterback is highly unlikely be the pick at the top of the board. Meanwhile, the stock of Star Lotulelei, an outstanding defensive line talent who has a chance to be the first Utah player to go No. 1 overall since Smith, is up in the air after he was sent home from the combine due to a heart condition.

That could lead the Chiefs to Texas A&M left tackle Luke Joeckel, but that also becomes less likely if they re-sign unrestricted free agent Branden Albert. Still needing an upgrade at defensive end, the best draft pick may be Richardson. Richardson is a quick, explosive defensive lineman who projects well to playing the 5-technique position in a 3-4, and has as much upside as any prospect in the draft.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

If new head coach Gus Bradley is going to build up a great defense in Jacksonville like he did in Seattle, he needs to rebuild the personnel at all three levels. A great place to start would be on the defensive line, where the roster lacks a three-down difference-maker.

Florida defensive tackle Sharrif Floyd would be a great fit for Bradley’s hybrid leo scheme, in which Floyd would take on a role that encompasses playing from both the 3- and 5-technique on the defensive line. Floyd is a very well-rounded defensive tackle who is both an explosive interior pass-rusher and a powerful run-stopper, and could be a great piece to build around and improve the defense in both areas.

3. Oakland Raiders: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

With only 25 total sacks, the Oakland Raiders were one of the NFL’s worst pass-rushing teams last season. Florida State defensive end Bjoern Werner could help fix that problem.

Werner is an explosive rusher off the edge with great speed, length and rush technique, but he is also strong at the point of attack and is good in space as a run defender. He is the best 4-3 defensive end in the draft class, and can be the premier pass-rusher the Raiders lack.

4. Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

The Philadelphia Eagles have greater needs than at left tackle, but if Texas A&M’s Luke Joeckel is still available at the No. 4 overall pick, he will be tough to pass upon.

Joeckel could be a franchise player to lead the Eagles’ offensive line for many years to come. For a unit that struggled with injuries and disappointing performances in 2012, the long, angular and athletic Joeckel could be a leader and star for the group going forward.

Jason Peters is one of the NFL’s best left tackles but is coming off multiple injuries to his Achilles tendon. If Peters returns to his All-Pro form, Joeckel could be an immediate upgrade at right tackle, which would allow the Eagles to fill a need at right guard by shifting Todd Herremans inside, all the while grooming Joeckel into their left tackle of the future.

If his health checks out, Utah’s Star Lotulelei would be an ideal choice who can play both defensive end and nose tackle in the Eagles’ new 3-4 defense, but until those questions are answered, Joeckel looks like the stronger choice here.

5. Detroit Lions: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

The Detroit Lions are already very weak at cornerback, and their best cornerback, Chris Houston, is an unrestricted free agent.

Upgrading at the position is arguably their biggest need. Alabama’s Dee Milliner is an outstanding all-around cornerback prospect with great length and ball skills, coverage instincts, speed and physical play.

The importance of having a strong and deep secondary is increasing in importance every year, which makes a cornerback prospect like Milliner well worth a top-5 investment. Milliner can be an immediate upgrade at the position, and is among the best players available.

6. Cleveland Browns: Barkevious Mingo, OLB/DE, LSU

The Cleveland Browns’ greatest need is for an explosive hybrid pass-rusher to star on the edge in their new defensive scheme under coordinator Ray Horton. There is no pass-rusher in the draft class more explosive than LSU’s Barkevious Mingo.

Mingo is a boom-or-bust prospect, but has star potential and would be a good fit for Horton’s scheme, which will likely be based in the 3-4 defense. Mingo’s best position at the next level projects to be at outside linebacker, given his long, lean frame combined with outstanding athletic ability. That said, he has shown at LSU that he can also be a dynamic pass-rusher as a down lineman in a four-man front.

Mingo has some flaws in his game, but most of the top pass-rushers in this year’s draft class are high-risk, high-reward selections. Among those players, Mingo is the best suited to come in and immediately be an impact player for the Browns’ defense.

7. Arizona Cardinals: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

The Arizona Cardinals have a major need at quarterback, but they also desperately need to rebuild their offensive line. West Virginia’s Geno Smith is very much in play at this selection as a potential franchise quarterback, but the better value would be to add a legitimate top-10 prospect and franchise left tackle talent in Central Michigan’s Eric Fisher.

Rebuilding the line starts with improving pass protection, especially at left tackle. Fisher is an outstanding pass-protector with great length and quick feet. He can be an immediate starter.

8. Buffalo Bills: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

The Buffalo Bills need to upgrade at quarterback, but without any signal-callers who have proven themselves worthy of being a top-10 selection, the Bills may decide their best move is to add a much-needed linebacker in Round 1 and wait on a quarterback until later in the draft.

Although it is rumored by TFY Draft Insider that Georgia outside linebacker Jarvis Jones could have a “DaQuan Bowers type drop” in this year’s draft due to concerns with his spinal stenosis, he is one of the draft’s best prospects and would be a good fit for the Bills’ defense.

A very talented all-around linebacker who can make plays all over the field and is an athletic pass-rusher off the edge, Jones fits the Bills’ new defensive scheme because he can play outside linebacker in any package. Injury risk aside, Jones is a very talented playmaker who could be the missing piece for the Bills’ defensive front seven.

9. New York Jets: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

After Mark Sanchez’s dismal 2012 campaign, it is quite clear the Jets need to find a new franchise quarterback. If West Virginia’s Geno Smith is still on the board at the No. 9 overall pick, it would come as a big surprise if the Jets pass him up.

Smith has flaws in his game — footwork, pocket presence, reads under pressure — that create concerns about him as a franchise quarterback, but it will still be a surprise if he falls outside of the top 10 picks. With a strong arm, great release and good athleticism, Smith has the most upside of any quarterback in the 2013 draft class.

Throwing Smith into the fire in New York is a dangerous premise, but with a handicapping Mark Sanchez contract that will likely stop them from adding another veteran quarterback, Smith may be their best option.

10. Tennessee Titans: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah

If there are any long-term concerns about Star Lotulelei’s health as a result of the heart condition he was sent home from the combine for, he is likely to fall quite a bit in the draft. But unless the condition is viewed as potentially career-curtailing, his talent will outweigh potential risk at some point, and the Tennessee Titans could be the team to take that chance.

Defensive tackle isn’t necessarily among the Titans’ biggest needs, but they could use a three-down impact player like Lotulelei. He is an outstanding run stopper and penetrator who also offers interior pass-rush ability, and can be a real difference-maker on the Titans’ defensive front.

Lotulelei makes a strong case for being the draft class’ best prospect if healthy, and would be good value based on his talent at the end of the top 10.

11. San Diego Chargers: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

After an outstanding display of athleticism and footwork at this year’s combine, the stock of Oklahoma left tackle Lane Johnson continues to rise. If he makes it out of the top 10 draft picks, the Chargers should not hesitate to select him at No. 11 overall.

The Chargers need to upgrade badly at left tackle, and could get a potentially great one in Johnson. While he needs to gain upper-body strength and become more polished, his outstanding athletic ability, great lower-body strength and good length should all make him an immediate upgrade for the Chargers and a long-term star of their offensive line.

12. Miami Dolphins: Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU

The stock of BYU defensive end Ezekiel Ansah has been quickly on the rise. Although a raw player who needs significant development yet, the Ghanaian product is a boom-or-bust prospect with a great combination of size, length and athletic upside. The Dolphins are a team who could very well take a shot on Ansah.

The Dolphins should be in the market for an upgrade at defensive end, and if Ansah manages to live up to his potential, he could form a formidable duo at the position along with Cameron Wake. While Ansah isn’t quite the explosive pass-rusher Wake is, his inside rush ability and ability to break up passes at the line of scrimmage make him intriguing.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

If the Buccaneers make the decision to void the rest of Eric Wright’s contract and release him this offseason, they will be left without any sure starters at the cornerback position. The Buccaneers would be smart to upgrade at the position in the first round of this year’s draft, and could do that quickly with the addition of Missisippi State’s Johnthan Banks.

While Banks could slide down the board due to a disappointing combine performance, he is a very good cornerback worth a mid-first-round selection. A cornerback with great size and length, ball skills and who plays with physicality, Banks could immediately add much-needed stability to the Buccaneers’ secondary.

14. Carolina Panthers:Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

The Carolina Panthers have a major need to upgrade at defensive tackle, and fortunately for them, there are many first-round talents available at the position in the 2013 NFL draft. The best choice among those still available is Ohio State’s Johnathan Hankins, a massive nose tackle who is also deceptive quick and explosive.

The Panthers need to add a player with the strength and size to occupy blockers, while also being able to create more pressure on their interior defensive line. They could get that out of Hankins, which would enable players in the Panthers’ defensive front like Charles Johnson and Luke Kuechly to make more plays in the backfield.

15. New Orleans Saints: Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon

As the New Orleans Saints transition to a 3-4 defensive scheme next season, they need to re-stock their roster at each level of their defense for better scheme fits. A logical area to address in Round 1 is at outside linebacker, where the Saints need to find a potential impact player to come off the edge.

That player could be Oregon’s Dion Jordan. As expected, Jordan stood out athletically in the combine. Although he is a raw player who needs to develop better pass-rush technique, he has huge upside as a 3-4 outside linebacker. Jordan has a rare combination of size and athleticism, and although still developing as a pass-rusher, he is also a good tackler in space and solid in coverage.

16. St. Louis Rams: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

The St. Louis Rams added two young wide receivers last season with big upside in Brian Quick and Chris Givens, but they still have a lack of star playmakers to put around quarterback Sam Bradford. The Rams could change that quickly by adding the most dynamic skill-position player in the 2013 draft class, Tennessee wide receiver Cordarrelle Patterson.

Patterson is a jack-of-all-trades who utilizes a rare combination of size, speed and open-field running ability to consistently make big plays. He has the potential to be a very good outside receiver at the next level, but can also be used as a runner and as a returner.

The Rams have bigger needs than wide receiver, but Patterson’s star potential could be tough to pass up in the middle of Round 1.

CONTINUE TO PICKS 17-32

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Tags: 2013 NFL Draft, Mock Drafts, Sharrif Floyd, Sheldon Richardson, Xavier Rhodes

27 Responses to “2013 NFL Mock Draft: Post-Combine Projections”

  1. I really liked this mock better then the past few. At least it recognises our needs. If not Rhodes or Trufant at 29 maybe Cypren? Logan I’d like better as a 3rd pick then 2nd. I think the talent level will be solid through the 3rd round and into the 4th so Bill should be able to really fill some needs. Having no idea what BB is planning I’d hope for a draft that looks like this:
    1#29 Xavior Rhodes cb/s
    2#59 Markus Wheaton wr
    3#91 Kwain Gathers DT
    Yes I know, it’s just like my others. At least I’m consistant.

  2. cc says:

    I’d like to see them snag Terron Armstead OT out of Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Lots of speed and upside.
    He’s projected like a Joe Staley of the 49ers & with Dante Scar coaching him up, he should help solidify our O-line whoh’s and needs & give us maneuverability in our line.
    Vollmer is roughed up, Thomas &
    McDonald are not what we need in the wings. Cannon can stick mainly at Gaurd.

  3. Richardson at #1 would be interesting, but I still believe KC has to build it OL with a new QB. Most mocks at first-pick.com have Joeckel or Floyd going into the #1 slot, with the occasional trade. Another player to watch is obviously Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah. Projected first overall by some mocks we’ll have to see just what the cardiologist examinations show and what it may mean for his NFL future.

  4. joeisme says:

    The Packers’ gm has said even if they release Finley they will look in house for a TE since they like Williams and Crabtree a lot. There is no way they draft a TE in the first round since they have such pressing needs in so many other spots; 3-4 DE/ILB/LT/SS.

  5. JV says:

    Please stop mocking CBs to the Pats in the first rd….it make me throw up in mouth every time I see it. Bottom line…Bill sucks at drafting players in the secondary.

    • D.S.T. says:

      if you don’t try, you can’t succeed. LOL. His record drafting secondary is NO WORSE THAN ANY OTHER TEAM OVER THE PAST 10 YEARS.

    • Get a bucket man and let it all out. The problem with Bill db drafting is he kept trading down for “VALUE PICKS”. Downing had injury history from high school. What’s needed is a high ranking talent without issues who can actuall play a few seasons without being on ir. This year there is a bunch of them. We’ve seen that mid rd and fa’s arn’t doing it but no reason to pretend not drafting them will fix the problem.

  6. AM says:

    It would be absolutely stunning if Keenan Allen were to be available at the bottom of the second round–if he even falls as far as #29, the Patriots should jump on him, much less #59.

  7. John says:

    Did this site put in adds? Damn it.

  8. EccentricFan says:

    I know Jarvis Jones is incredibly talented, but even without his medical concerns, it would be hard for the Bills to pass up the top QB in the draft falling right into their laps.

    With the medical concerns, I think it’s no contest between the two. Geno has to be the choice, and having the Jets right behind the Bills ready to scoop him up would only make the decision to pass on him all the more painful.

  9. Russell Easterbrooks says:

    I don’t see any way BB passes on OG/C Barrett Jones if he is on the board when we use our 1st pick. In the years to come Jones is very likely an all-pro at OG, And even tho we need other positions filled, I can’t see BB passing on Jones.
    So with this MOCK in mind I would go;
    #29 OG/C Barrett Jones
    #59 DT Brandon Williams
    #91 CB Robert Alford or CB Darius Slay

    BB will trade at some point for extra picks, then look for;

    WR Ryan Swope or WR Conner Vernon
    and /or
    SS Cooper Taylor, or SS Kenny Tate

    • JV says:

      Barret Jones to the Pats would mean an immediate upgrade at RG.

      • cc says:

        The better upgrade CLEARLY is getting an OT. *example of Terron Armstead out of Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
        Then just integrate Marcus Cannon taking over Guard duties on the regular.
        Cannon should be around 4 a while. … Sebastion Vollmer is respectfully on injured/borrowed time.
        Trade/dump Thomas and McDonald.

    • Russell, with all due respect I just can’t see taking Barrett Jones at 29. Yes he’s probably the best center/ guard prospect this year but jeeze Bill has to fix the def 1st. That means cb/s and DT. Plus more then a center we need an outside wr for the off. Sometimes you just have to bite the bullet and fix whats broken and if it’s not broken don’t fix it.

  10. Matt says:

    First off the biggest need for the Lions is not CB but Safety. Second although Milner proved he has speed at the combine he also proved to have tight hips and average ball skills. Even if you go back to his tape he didn’t have a lot of interceptions I believe 2 for the year. He is not a top 5 player to me that would be someone like a Patrick Peterson dynamic CB and returner. The Lions will go with either Fisher or Joeckel or Ansah, or Mingo or Warmack in the first and the Elam or Slay (CB) or the best safety available. OLB is not a priority as they have drafted several in the last two years still on the roster and they can pick one up later in the draft. In the third round look for them to take the best OG available the Kid from Wisconson had a disappointing combine but is still a tremendous ball player. If Montgomery the DE from LSU falls to them in the third they could take him. They will not take multiple DE’s in this draft. Their is talk of them trading up into the second round and taking the slot receiver from West Virginia, but I think that will depend on how much it would take and if they sign Reggie Bush.

    • Dan says:

      wow, amen to that man. Finally someone sees Milliner not being able to turn and run. even though his 40 was great, his 20 yard shuffle was terrible. those pick would be a lot better than Milliner maybe Dion Jordan too after his combine

    • Ken says:

      Matt,
      I could not have said it better than you just did. The Lions drafted several CB’s last year. Injuries kept them off the field. Time to see what you have got with them. Look for:

      Round 1) Fisher or Ansah, (Although a strong case can be made for Warmack)

      Round 2) Top rated safety

      Round 3) Frederick, the C from WI or next best Center or interior offensive lineman on the board.

      Anything much different than this, and Lions management heads will roll at seasons end.

  11. Hunter says:

    Everything I’ve heard has Rhodes not getting very far out of the top 10. There is no way he’s there when Pats draft. Trufant would be nice there though. The best part of these mocks is that it shows me that good prospects will still be around in round 3. Also, if we pass up on Chase Thomas for a WR that quit on the team I will be furious.

  12. floridated says:

    Pats will trade first round pick. Mallett will be traded also leaving the Pats with no back up qb.I Pts can’t trade first round pick her is another secenario BB always takes the player with the highest mark on his board who will be Barkley (qb) Ideal fit for Pats future right height, pocket passer,great stats until this year, tons of upside, 2 years under Brady and Pats system he will be ready to step right in and not miss a beat.

    • Jim R says:

      USC QB’s scare me. I think next years QB class has some real talent. at least 4 first round picks. You have Kafka as a backup if mallett is traded. Maybe Cassell gets cut and you bring him back for a couple of years. This might not be the year to draft a QB.

    • Rockdog says:

      Got news for you. Brady will be playing long past 2 more years. Brady broke every other stereotype and he’s going to break another by playing another 5-6 years. Next starting QB for Pats is currently learning Albebra I as a High School freshman.

    • Well maybe! I get kind of a chuckle when someone says Bill will do this or won’t do that. Over the years we’ve all seen Bill do what Bill wants to, to the surprise and sometimes shock of the current wisdom Plus bet you a coffee and jelly donut he doesn’t take Barkley or any qb in the first 3 rounds. They just extended Brady meaning any qb this year would have his contract expire before Brady’s.

  13. DaveM says:

    Logan in the 2nd and Wilson in the 3rd. I thought Tavon Wilson was a reach last year, but these two are ridiculous.

  14. Joe Blake says:

    Banks at 13, no way…too high. Rhodes to Pats at 29: right on. No Slay in top 94 , & Trufant at 44: way low, they will go before Banks given combine numbers. Like Geathers or B. Williams ahead of Logan (did Logan really jump only 25″: he must be carrying the coins Saban gave to recruit him!). Wilson at #91? Like Swope better. (Did Wilson put up only 7 reps! And run >4.5…answer: yes). I wonder if the player assessment test results will ever be public. We draft pundits could use that info. To help rank the players.

    • Okay Joe, sure hopy your right about Rhodes but the guy ran two 4.41′s at the conbine. Unofficial but in with the top group. Righ on! with Gathers and Williams. Another guy I like is Joe Vallano from Mar’ld. 59 may be a little early for him but watching him on tapes he remindes me of Tedy Bruscci. Slightly undersized but looks to have the fire in his belly and always making plays. Russell Easterbrooks alearted me to him awhile back.
      Did they have pockest for coins in those tights? lol!



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