2013 NFL Mock Draft: Senior Bowl Week Projection

Defensive lineman Datone Jones is among the Senior Bowl’s early risers. (Photo: US Presswire)

NEPD Editor: Matthew Jones

The Patriots’ season is over and Senior Bowl practices are underway, meaning it’s time for another examination of some of the 2013 NFL Draft’s first-round possibilities, with due attention paid to recent stock fluctuations.

Last update: January 24th

1. Kansas City Chiefs – QB Geno Smith, West Virginia

Based on draft history, it’s difficult to believe that Kansas City’s new management will eschew drafting a quarterback in favor of the “best player available” approach; the Chiefs are likely more inclined to try and sell their fans on the idea that a passer such as Smith is 2013’s top talent.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars – DE Bjoern Werner, Florida St.*

Jeremy Mincey’s disappointing 2012 campaign suggests that his starting role may be up for grabs this offseason, especially considering he has already received the $9 million in guaranteed money contained in his contract; Werner is a well-rounded, safe pick at this point.

3. Oakland Raiders – DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M*

Raiders head coach Dennis Allen cannot be happy with Oakland’s pass-rushing production in 2012; sweeping changes appear incoming for Oakland’s defense, particularly in the front seven. Adding a versatile rusher should be a priority; Moore could potentially provide pressure.

4. Philadelphia Eagles – OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan

Fisher’s Senior Bowl appearance could skyrocket him into the top five or ten picks; Philadelphia looks particularly appealing as a potential destination. Left tackle Jason Peters tore his Achilles twice, substitute Demetress Bell will almost certainly be released, and Chip Kelly’s offense favors quickness.

5. Detroit Lions – LB Jarvis Jones, Georgia*

Jones’ spinal stenosis may cause him to slip behind Werner and Moore in terms of draft positioning, but he remains the most consistent playmaker in the class; Detroit must consider replacing left end Cliff Avril, right end Kyle Vanden Bosch, and weakside linebacker DeAndre Levy.

6. Cleveland Browns – WR Keenan Allen, California*

Mike Holmgren and Cleveland’s previous regime may have already invested a second-round pick in wide receiver Josh Gordon, but new Browns offensive coordinator Norv Turner will demand more talent at the position in order to improve an incompetent passing game.

7. Arizona Cardinals – OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M*

The perfect situation for Arizona: a decision between left tackle Luke Joeckel and defensive tackle Star Lotulelei, both of whom would be ideal fits in the Cardinals’ defense; Joeckel seems more likely to be favored by new head coach Brian Arians in a division packed with dangerous pass rushers.

8. Buffalo Bills – CB Dee Milliner, Alabama*

Mike Pettine has been charged with rebuilding what was ultimately an underperforming 2012 defense; if his defensive philosophy resembles his most recent work with the New York Jets, Pettine will require a physical press coverage cornerback to start opposite Stephon Gilmore.

9. New York Jets – DE Barkevious Mingo, Louisiana St.*

Last season, the Seattle Seahawks surprised many onlookers by drafting hybrid defensive end/outside linebacker Bruce Irvin; in an attempt to uncover pass-rushing talent this offseason, don’t be surprised if former Seahawks executive John Idzik, Jr. targets another variable player in Mingo.

10. Tennessee Titans – OG Chance Warmack, Alabama

It’s painful to pass on a player of Star Lotulelei’s caliber at this point in the draft, but Warmack is considered among the draft’s top prospects; adding a devastating inline blocker to the interior of their offensive line would do wonders for the Titans, who need to get younger, better guards.

11. San Diego Chargers – DT Star Lotulelei, Utah

Quarterback Philip Rivers’ offense in San Diego is currently in the process of crumbling around him, but there’s no way San Diego can pass on arguably an elite prospect in Utah defensive tackle Star Lotulelei, especially with many of the top offensive tackles opting to return to school.

12. Miami Dolphins – WR Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee*

Patterson’s combination of size, strength, and athleticism has led to a meteoric rise up draft boards; he is in serious consideration to be among the draft’s top fifteen picks. Miami’s only consistent receiving option is impending free agent Brian Hartline; they could use a more dynamic target.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – LB Manti Te’o, Notre Dame

It would be wise to be too hasty in picking sides regarding the recent outrage surrounding Manti Te’o’s character; even if Te’o was somehow complicit in the alleged scheme, it remains relatively safe to project a long, productive career as a professional inside linebacker.

14. Carolina Panthers – DT Sheldon Richardson, Missouri*

Three intriguing options are available for Carolina at this point: defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson and nose tackles John Jenkins and Johnathan Hankins. The Panthers need to improve their interior run defense, but Richardson makes the most sense this high in the draft.

15. New Orleans Saints – DE Datone Jones, UCLA

Jones has been one of the Senior Bowl’s most impressive prospects; despite his relative lack of pass-rushing production (6.5 sacks in 2012), his versatility (left end, defensive tackle, right end) would allow him to move around in Steve Spagnuolo’s diverse defensive fronts.

16. St. Louis Rams – SS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas

A versatile free safety/strong safety option, Vaccaro would fit in well with Jeff Fisher’s physical, aggressive roster. The Rams must consider releasing costly safety Quintin Mikell, and their opposite starter, Craig Dahl, is probably better suited to a reserve role; Vaccaro could slide into either spot.

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15 Responses to “2013 NFL Mock Draft: Senior Bowl Week Projection”

  1. I have looked at all the draft boards possible, and still haven’t seen Jon Bostic.

  2. steve earle says:

    I enjoyed the back and forth between Alex and Matthew Jones. Good reasoning, really like the Ansha & Hunt thinking. I read today that Hunt isn’t having the best showing at Sr. Bowl pratice. Have to watch and see if it effects his draft stock. He had been mocking several spots before Pats in 1st. Could he slip down to us? Would Bill pull the trigger?

  3. Russell Easterbrooks says:

    NO don’t see CB Banks picked here not the best player on the board. Given this Mock, Sharrif Floyd DT, Barrett Jones C/OG or DeAndre Hopkins WR are higher on the draft board.

  4. russell easterbrooks says:

    Rumor has Cleveland interested in QB Ryan Mallett, and the Pats 1st pick in the draft. It sounds like Cleveland feels Mallett, would compete with Weeden for the starting job. Cleveland does not have a 2nd pick in this years draft, and is looking to draft, Two players that can start next year.
    Sounds like the Pats would get; Clevelands 3d,4th,6th, and 2nd pick next year.

    • steve earle says:

      I don’t know about this? They want our 1st and Mallett fop their 3,4,6 and next years 2nd? That’s a bad deal for us. We end up with a bunch of mid-rounders who are as likely as not to not make the team or if any of them do they will be special team players or scout teamers. Bill needs to tell them no.

    • Steve Holt says:

      No way the patriots give up a first round pick and trade bait for a bunch of mid round picks. That is a terrible deal for the pats. Past the 3rd round, you will not find many quality starters, unless you luck out on a Brady or a Dennard type pick late in the draft. Also, the pats do not have time any more to screw with picks. Just use all picks, or trade up, and take best available at a position of need. Get another super bowl before brady retires.

  5. russell easterbrooks says:

    No I don’t think CB Banks is your best player at this point. DT Sharrif Floyd, or C/OG Barrett Jones, or WR DeAndre Hopkins, all score higher by 15-19 pts over CB Banks. Take a CB in the second, CB Darius Slay 6’1″ 190 runs a 4.53 40, or CB Demetrius McCray 6’1″ 185 runs a 4.4 40. I also think the Pats choose a second CB in maybe the 7th round.

    • steve earle says:

      Agree with Russell here though Banks is not completely off my list. If Floyed did come to 29 yes, but does any think he will? Still if a DT/DE were there and taken another cb who might slip into our range at 2 might be Desmond Trufant, Wash. 4.42/40 reported (not official).

  6. Alex says:

    Not wanting to be too much of a fanboy, but this was very impressive.
    Pithy, clear well reasoned explanations for each pick, taking into account coaching and FA personnel. Some odd choices, very well backed up, keeping it different from 100’s of other mocks, without being crazy.
    From spending time on Mocking the Draft, I know some teams would disagree with your needs diagnosis, the Texans for one, but that’s small point.

    Basically thanks, for the best mock I’ve read this year.

    For the Pats I think I’d take Dion Jordan. I think another rush end could give us a superb rush, and he’s basically the defense’s version of Hernandez, a chess piece, that can do so much.

    In a 3-4 alignment, with him and Chandler at OLB, either or both could rush, and given that he covered slot receivers in college, he would be great covering TEs or RBs. Bulk up a bit so he could better play the run, and I think we would relieve a lot of pressure off the secondary.

    • MatthewJones says:

      Jordan would be interesting but I’m not sure New England would fall for a player who has had trouble maintaining weight; recently there was a report that he was playing under 230 pounds. The Patriots have recently evolved into a more aggressive offense in regards to blitzing their linebackers and increasing their aggressiveness in coverage; however, the only major defensive roles potentially available are the defensive tackle spot (Kyle Love), cornerback (Talib/Arrington are FAs), and a coverage linebacker like you mentioned, Alex.

      The last of those options seems like more of a mid-to-late-round possibility; Dane Fletcher could potentially fill that role (rotating into the sub package as Tracy White used to.) What about a player such as Sio Moore? Has rushed out of two and three-point stances, looked athletic at 240+ pounds at the Senior Bowl, and has extensive coverage experience. New England could likely draft someone like Moore in the fourth or fifth-round via an acquired pick.

      • Alex says:

        Didn’t know about his trouble maintaining weight. He would need to bulk up a bit more that’s for sure. One reason I’m keen on him, is I think he really could be great at covering TEs and taking them out of the game, so would prefer someone couldn’t use him against us.

        Most mocks I’ve seen have had him going a lot higher, so in this one I loved the value.

        ATM my hopes are for Ezekiel Ansah or Margus Hunt. I think both could play opposite Chandler at 4-3 End, and kick inside on passing downs. Both also have the body to bulk up to ~300lbs, and be a JJ Watt type presence at 3-4 End. With our hybrid fronts I think they’d be a good fit.
        I think that with one of them and Chandler developing and possibly Armstead in the mix, we could have a very special rush, which would relieve some of the pressure on the secondary. I realise this is all dependant on them panning out.

      • Alex says:

        Also with Dion Jordan, think we could use him in an Von Miller esque, but with more coverage responsibility, 4-3 OLB

    • steve earle says:

      Dion Jordan seems kind of light to me. A player in the 260 and up range would hold up against the run better. I’d prefur Alex Okafor, Margus Hunt, Dantone Jones or Ezekal Ansah among others

  7. Mark says:

    Only QB selected is Geno Smith? With all the NFL teams needing or unhappy with their situation at QB, I’ve gotta believe that at least 2 others will go in round 1, deserved or not.

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