I’m going to go with Coples, but a lot of that depends on what team/scheme they go to obviously. I’m not sure Ingram will ever be a double digit sack guy. If he’s going to be used as effectively as possible he’s going to be moved around a lot. I think Ingram will be a good player, I’m just not sure he’ll ever be used as a pass rush specialist.
I’m certainly not saying Coples will be either, but if he’s used at 7-tech, he’s going to do some damage, and I think he’ll do damage early. He’s got an NFL ready body, some NFL rush moves and a great first step off the snap. With the right team, and the right coaching, Coples can be as dominant as he wants to be.
I doubt either gets double digit sacks in their first seasons, but I see more production early from Coples.
If I had to bet on the Patriots to wind up with one of them, it’s Janoris Jenkins, and it will likely be if he falls to the second round.
Personally, I would take Jenkins at 27, I’d even trade up for him. I think he’s a special talent that could strive in the Patriots defense. The Patriots are typically more conservative with their top picks though. They’ll typically take injury or character risks in the 2nd round and beyond.
Claiborne is going to go way to high for the Pats to trade up for, Kirkpatrick may not be the best fit at CB, but he would be a dream safety if the Pats saw him as one and would be willing to trade up for him. I think Gilmore will be gone either to the Bengals, Lions, Steelers or another team before the Pats. That leaves Jenkins and all the “good” CBs after him.
If the Pats can come out of the draft with Jenkins, Hosley, Fleming, Boykin, Trumaine Johson, Josh Robinson or Casey Hayward, I’ll be thrilled. I love all of those players. Ron Brooks, Dwight Bentley and Asa Jackson are all nice options as well.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: this CB class is crazy deep.
Obviously we don’t know what the Patriots board will look like, but here are some of my top players that I think will be low on the Pats board due to a lack of scheme fit:
Zach Brown, Lavonte David, Mychal Kendricks, Travis Lewis: All athletic smaller LBs, none are the prototype size that New England looks for. I’d love to get a Lavonte David or Mychal Kendricks as a coverage specialist, but it’s not going to happen.
Jerrel Worthy: Doesn’t have scheme versatility, going to be a pure penetrating 3-tech.
Whitney Mercilus, Chandler Jones: I see both players as 7-tech only. I don’t expect the Patriots to use nearly as many four man fronts next season.
Josh Kaddu: SLB only. Doesn’t have the versatility needed in the Pats defense, though he may be better than Gary Guyton.
Chase Minnifield, Leonard Johnson, Josh Norman, Robert Blanton: Don’t have the speed or athleticism needed to fit Belichick’s prototype CB.